Or Phil Burnett if you’d like.
After last night’s lackluster performance by AJ Burnett people can’t stop talking about the state of the Yankees’ pitching rotation. They want Burnett out of the rotation after his “gutless” outing against the Angels and they want Phil Hughes to replace him because of his strong outing against the Chicago White Sox last week.
Both Hughes and Burnett have issues when they make their starts that Yankee fans have problems with.
For A.J. Burnett it’s length. It seems like it’s been a dog’s age since he’s pitched past the seventh inning (although for the record, his last 7+ IP performance was against the Orioles on July 29 when he pitched eight innings in a 4-2 loss to Jeremy Guthrie).
I posted a stat in the gane recap last night that bares repeating in this post as well – Thanks to Jay Jaffe from Baseball Prospectus and Pinstriped Bible for the info – Burnett hasn’t thrown a quality start since June 29. His stats since then, 6.00 ERA, 1.5 HR/9, 4.5 BB/9 in 7 starts.
Yikes.
Here are Burnett’s stats by inning for 2011 and you’ll see how the stats change, notice the trailing off of IP in later innings while hits and runs increase in later innings as well (though his stats in the first inning are nothing to write home about either):
| Split |
G |
IP |
ER |
ERA |
PA |
AB |
R |
H |
2B |
3B |
HR |
SB |
CS |
BB |
SO |
SO/BB |
BA |
OBP |
SLG |
OPS |
TB |
GDP |
HBP |
SH |
SF |
| 1st inning |
24 |
24.0 |
13 |
4.88 |
99 |
87 |
15 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
3 |
2 |
1 |
7 |
22 |
3.14 |
.241 |
.303 |
.425 |
.728 |
37 |
2 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
| 2nd inning |
24 |
24.0 |
5 |
1.88 |
103 |
88 |
6 |
19 |
4 |
0 |
3 |
4 |
0 |
14 |
25 |
1.79 |
.216 |
.320 |
.364 |
.684 |
32 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
| 3rd inning |
24 |
24.0 |
5 |
1.88 |
90 |
79 |
6 |
12 |
4 |
0 |
2 |
2 |
2 |
8 |
23 |
2.88 |
.152 |
.233 |
.278 |
.512 |
22 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
| 4th inning |
24 |
24.0 |
20 |
7.50 |
109 |
98 |
20 |
27 |
9 |
1 |
5 |
3 |
0 |
11 |
22 |
2.00 |
.276 |
.349 |
.541 |
.889 |
53 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
| 5th inning |
24 |
23.1 |
8 |
3.09 |
99 |
88 |
8 |
25 |
5 |
1 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
8 |
14 |
1.75 |
.284 |
.344 |
.432 |
.776 |
38 |
3 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
| 6th inning |
21 |
17.2 |
16 |
8.15 |
89 |
73 |
14 |
21 |
5 |
0 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
12 |
14 |
1.17 |
.288 |
.398 |
.521 |
.918 |
38 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
1 |
| 7th inning |
11 |
9.0 |
9 |
9.00 |
43 |
36 |
11 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
7 |
1.40 |
.250 |
.349 |
.528 |
.877 |
19 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
| 8th inning |
4 |
2.2 |
0 |
0.00 |
13 |
11 |
0 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
2.00 |
.182 |
.308 |
.273 |
.580 |
3 |
0 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
Now for Hughes, his 2011 is abbreviated thanks to his lengthy stay on the disabled list so he’s only made nine starts compared to Burnett’s 24.
Hughes’s two main issues have been his velocity diminishing in later innings and his inability to put hitters away when he’s recorded two outs (or at least it seems like he has that issue when watching him).
During his start against the White Sox on August 2 he looked a lot better but some people are wondering if it’s because the idea of pitching for his rotation spot has lit a fire under Hughes’s ass so to speak.
I came up with an idea on Twitter after spying on other people’s Burnett and Hughes discussions. It was as a goof but still, bare with me.
Here it goes:
Why can’t the Yankees just have both Burnett and Hughes pitch the same game? Burnett can start and pitch into the fifth inning and then Hughes, who has bullpen experience can come in for the sixth, seven and eighth. Then you can choose who you want to close out the game!
So the rotation would be CC Sabathia, Bartolo Colon, Freddy Garcia, Ivan Nova and Burnett/Hughes (or Hughes/Burnett). You could have six “starters” but everyone would be going on regular rest!
Aren’t I a genius? Okay, so that won’t actually work.
So what do the Yankees do now?
As for A.J. Burnett and where he stands now, I actually agree with Jack Curry of the YES Network. On the postgame show last night he said that Burnett should skip a start, take a week to work with Yankees pitching coach Larry Rothschild and see what happens.
This will give Hughes a chance to show if he can replicate his performance in Chicago and give Burnett the chance to regroup.
Then again, AJ Burnett has been a mediocre pitcher his whole career and so far, that’s what the Yankees have gotten. It’s just that his really bad starts seem to happen at the wrong time – like when the Yankees have lost two games in a row and fans are rabid. Also, he hasn’t won since June and he’s winless in August while with the Yankees and those are glaring problems.
Now where I didn’t agree with Curry during the postgame was when he implied that if AJ Burnett had actually made a quality start and not given up a run, or maybe had gotten out of that sixth inning only having given up one run, it wouldn’t have been a big deal because the Angels aren’t a great team offensively.
That’s interesting, isn’t it?
So maybe Burnett was better off crapping the bed – for lack of a better phrase – because it’s what expected of him. And if he had pitched well and led the Yankees to victory all we’d be seeing, “Well it was only the Angels. Let’s see how he does against the Red Sox!!!” all over Twitter and being uttered on various sports radio shows.
Well, I have news for everyone. The Angels have a good shot at making the playoffs. They’re within striking distance of the AL West leading Texas Rangers so it is conceivable that the Yankees could face Anaheim in the Division Series – if the Yanks make the playoffs – so wouldn’t it have been significant if AJ Burnett out dueled Dan Haren?
Of course he didn’t, so the point is moot but I wasn’t quite understanding the whole downplaying the opponent aspect of the analysis. Normally I love Curry but he kind of lost me there.
I mean, I guess the same could be said for young Mr. Hughes. Yes, his last start was great but it was against the Chicago White Sox who aren’t a great offensive team and it was a rain shortened outing.
See what I did there?
Anyway, Hughes is scheduled to start against the Tampa Bay Rays on Saturday at the Stadium. That should be a good test for him. If he does well against the Rays, who aren’t exactly burning any barns, but who are are still pesky and annoying, it could be a very good thing for his confidence. And if he can keep them off the bases altogether it could a really good thing for the Yankees.
Another good sign for Hughes will be his velocity staying elevated and his ability to get people out swinging and missing or pitching to less contact. If his curve is working he could have a great outing.
Oh who am I kidding? Let’s all just pray to the Baseball Gods and hope that AJ Burnett somehow becomes a better pitcher and that Phil Hughes lives up to his potential as at least a number two starter.