Oklahoma was idle yesterday, but there was plenty of college football action to keep everyone occupied.
Two BCS Top 5 teams lost yesterday, which means with at least one of those losses, Oklahoma moves up by default. Why only with one of those losses?
The current state of the BCS looks like this:
| 1 | LSU | 9-0 |
| 2 | Oklahoma State | 9-0 |
| 3 | Alabama | 8-1 |
| 4 | Stanford | 9-0 |
| 5 | Boise State | 8-0 |
| 6 | Oklahoma | 8-1 |
| 7 | Oregon | 8-1 |
| 8 | Arkansas | 8-1 |
| 9 | Clemson | 8-1 |
| 10 | Virginia Tech | 8-1 |
Boise State was upset by TCU, and since they are not in an auto-qualifying conference, they are
completely out of the race. But the wrench is Oregon upsetting Stanford last night. Yes, Oklahoma needed Stanford to lose to still have a shot at a title appearance, but Oregon’s only loss so far this season is to the No. 1 team in the country, during college football’s opening weekend.
I would expect Oregon to jump Oklahoma in the BCS polls after beating the No. 4 team in the country. In the Coaches and AP Polls already released this morning, they did. Oklahoma is now at 5, Oregon at 4.
Oregon also has a conference championship game, the Big XII does not anymore. The computer and the voters SHOULD pick a team who won a conference championship game over a team who doesn’t. So even if Oklahoma does win out, the odds are slim they will travel to New Orleans in January. This may end up being a case to the Big XII brass that we need to get back to 12 teams in order to stay competitive with the other conferences.
Alabama is also in that mix of possible title contenders if everything stays the same in the polls. They shouldn’t get the shot though, they aren’t even eligible to win their own conference, so they shouldn’t get a shot at a rematch against LSU. All of this will only work if Oklahoma beats Oklahoma State at Bedlam. Oregon really has to lose a game for the Sooners to even stay in this mix, though. And that shot may come next weekend, the Ducks are playing an up and coming USC Trojans next Saturday. Still not the same Trojan team from seasons past, but are showing signs of resurgence.
Alabama will also be rooting for the Trojans to win this weekend to keep their hopes alive, too. So this weekend, we are all USC fans. Those are words that I never thought I’d say and feel rather dirty for doing so, but it’s just for one weekend.
Does your head hurt from all the madness yet?
The new BCS poll will be released tonight at 8:15 EST.
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I initially felt the same way and wrote as much: http://www.blatanthomerism.com/2011-articles/november/reality-rankings-top-10-week-11.html
Oregon beating USC and blowing out whomever in the Pac 12 championship game will look good to the nation (not to mention the great win against Stanford). If OU wins out, I think we’ll gain the edge over Oregon in the computers, but it will come down to the voters. If we win big at Bedlam (the last game the voters will watch) that may be enough to get past Oregon, but if we barely squeak by it will be a tough call for the voters. If voters hate rematches (like I do), advantage OU.
I’m not worried about Bama. If we win we’ll pass them up. They’ve peaked and will not play anybody of high quality.
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I totally disagree with your assessment because in the Coaches poll the point differential between OU and Oregon is not large. OU will gain a great number of points in beating Ok St. Enough to jump Oregon. This leaves Bama. The question is will the human polls vote a team that has not won their own division, let alone conference into the title game?
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I agree, they will gain the points to jump Oregon, the voters have a tendency to lean towards schools that have a conference championship game is my only concern. Though, they have heavily favored Oklahoma in the past, so I am hoping that helps our case. As for Alabama, I only hope they decide that there is other 1 loss teams out there they actually have won their conference and get over their SEC bias for just a moment. Bama had their chance, didn’t produce, shouldn’t get another one
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