Mariners Postgame Recap: Weeping Angels

Final score: Mariners 6, Angels 1

Unlike the stone-faced foes of the Doctor, these Angels are not liable to kill more than the Mariners’ chances of winning a baseball game. Tonight, however, they were powerless—not, as one might expect, against King Felix, but against Hisashi Iwakuma.

For his third consecutive win, and ninth on the season, Iwakuma allowed six hits and a walk. He struck out seven batters, retiring Mike Trout on four pitches and sending Albert Pujols down swinging three times. In sixteen starts, this marked Iwakuma’s fifth outing with at least six strikeouts. Prior to tonight, his most recent attempt was another 7-strikeout effort against the Angels on September 2.

On the heels of the Mariners’ announcement to restructure the fences, every ball hit in the direction of an outfield wall was imagined in its 2013 resting place. Kyle Seager cleared the fences with a moon shot to right field, while Casper Wells and Michael Saunders smacked several pitches to the warning track.

In a pre-2013 Safeco Field, Saunders, John Jaso, and Jesus Montero followed Seager’s home run with a no-doubt double and a pair of base hits. Not to be excluded, Mark Trumbo ensured at least two RBIs with a handful of throwing errors. Overly grateful, the Mariners returned the favor in the 9th, botching a shutout on a ground ball that tripped Tom Wilhelmsen and popped off Saunders’ glove.

Tomorrow, the Mariners return to Safeco Field for the series finale and their last game of the season. Fighting to skew the series split in their favor will be Blake Beavan and RHP Jered Weaver.

Last game: vs. Angels | October 3 | 3:40pm

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Felix Surpasses His Competition

Felix Hernandez is in the midst of a hot streak, the likes of which have not been seen in baseball for years. We’ve known for years that Felix is good, that Felix is one of the best in the game, but his recent run has been historic – possibly even more historic than the perfect game he threw last night.

On June 28th, Felix threw a 1-0 complete game shutout against the Boston Red Sox. He struck out 13 and only walked one. Three starts later, he did the same to the Texas Rangers, this time striking out 12 while not issuing a single walk. Four more starts later, he shut out the New York Yankees 1-0, and last night he threw a perfect game against the Tampa Bay Rays. Since June 28th, 2012, Felix has thrown four complete game shutouts, all against teams with (at least preseason) playoff expectations.

In that ten game time period, Felix has an ERA of 1.62. Opponents only hold a .428 OPS off of him and he has struck out 73 while only walking 13. In ten starts, he has only allowed two home runs.

When the media talks about the best pitchers in baseball, they’ll lump Felix in with Jered Weaver, Clayton Kershaw, David Price and Justin Verlander. All four of those pitchers play for better teams and, understandably, have a better win-loss record than Felix, which makes his stats less appealing to the general public. How does Felix stack up, however, in complete game shutouts?

Let’s start with Felix’s A.L. West rival, Jered Weaver. He has thrown two shutouts this year. All year. He only threw two last year and didn’t throw one in 2010. In his 6+ year career, Weaver has thrown six shutouts.

What about Clayton Kershaw? Kershaw leads the National League with two shutouts this year. Two. He also only had two last year and has five over his 4+ year career. David Price? One shutout this year, two in his career.

Justin Verlander, reigning A.L. Cy Young award winner and MVP, surely has had a better stretch than Felix’s current run of domination. Not quite. He has one shutout in 2012. He had two last year, which is his career high.

Derek Holland and James Shields led the A.L. with four shutouts each last year, but both did it over a longer period of time than Felix and with much less domination in between. Cliff Lee actually managed six shutouts over nine games in 2011, but had three rough starts during that time period in which he gave up 6, 5 and 4 runs.

The previous time anybody had more than four shutouts in one year, even, was in 2005 when Dontrelle Willis had 5. Willis started the year with back-to-back shutouts, but the other three were spread out throughout the rest of the regular season. A.J. Burnett had five back in 2002… but one of those was six innings and he never had nearly as dominant of a run as Felix is on right now.

Not even Pedro Martinez was able to accomplish what Felix is making look easy every fifth night. In Pedro’s 23-4 season with the Red Sox in 1999, he had four shutouts all year long.

Ironically, the last pitcher to historically be on a similar run to Felix is none other than Randy Johnson back in 1998. He threw back-to-back shutouts for the Mariners on July 11 and July 16, and then after being traded to the Houston Astros, threw two more back-to-back on August 7 and August 12. Just for good measure, he threw one two starts later on August 28, took a break of one more game, and threw another on September 7, his sixth shutout in twelve games.

Felix Hernandez, right now, is the best pitcher in baseball. It seems fitting that the only player to match Hernandez’ current streak is Randy Johnson, whom the Mariners inducted into their Hall of Fame just a few short weeks ago.

If you’re in Seattle and you have the means, you would be foolish to not clear your schedule every time Felix takes the mound. The run he is on right now is one of the best in decades, and the chances are high you’d regret your decision to not go out to the park. You just might miss another perfect game.

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Series Preview: Minnesota Twins

After a road trip full of postseason contenders and lucky opponents, the Mariners are headed home to face someone with a worse record than themselves: the Minnesota Twins.

Current record: 6-18

Last game: vs. Angels. Minnesota was no-hit with a beautiful performance by Jered Weaver, who struck out nine batters and came one at-bat away from a perfect game after allowing a walk to Josh Willingham.

In 24 games, the Twins were swept in four of five series losses. They are currently nursing a 3-game losing streak.

Last series against Seattle: September 20 – 22, 2011. Seattle took the series 2-1 with two late-inning rallies by Alex Liddi, Kyle Seager, Dustin Ackley, and Ichiro. Minnesota grabbed a 3-2 win in the last game, when Steve Delabar handed a walk-off double to DH Rene Tosoni.

Over the past five years, the Twins hold a 16-18 overall record against the Mariners, split 9-7 at Target Field and 7-11 at Safeco.

Toughest player: Josh Willingham vs. Jesus Montero. Willingham carries 5 home runs in 21 games, batting .333/.432/.653 in 88 PA. Not to discredit Kyle Seager’s pair of home runs yesterday, but Montero leads the lineup (along with Michael Saunders) in homers, picking up a .294/.303/.459 slash line in 22 games and 89 PA. As mentioned on the Bob and Groz Show last week, Montero’s offense appears to pick up when he starts behind the plate, so I expect his performance will only improve from here.

Weakest link: Trevor Plouffe vs. Chone Figgins. In 13 games, Plouffe is batting .121/.275/.242, with a scoreless streak of 10 at-bats in the past three games. Chone is inching ahead with his 0-for-18 streak, picking up 0 walks and 7 strikeouts in four starts.

Expected result: Normally, I’m wary of predicting an easy win against a team who has performed this poorly; every case of bad luck has to end eventually. However, what do you do when both teams are skidding with multiple losses? As disheartening as a no-hitter can be, I’ll put my money on the Mariners taking this series. Their record is stronger in Safeco Field, they have a 13-homer streak to maintain, and Seattle fans are due for a break after watching four consecutive losses at the Safe last month. Do it for the fans, Mariners.

Who will break their losing streak first?

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Spring Training Preview: Mariners @ Angels

Tempe Diablo Stadium. (Credit: Dave Nakayama/Flickr)

I lied. Albert Pujols will not be starting for the Angels today. If it’s any consolation, he performed very well in his debut, so we’re at least spared the stress of watching him play against Seattle.

Today’s lineups:

Seattle: CF Figgins, 2B Ackley, 3B Seager, C Montero, LF Carp, DH Olivo, RF Saunders, SS Ryan, 1B Rodriguez, RHP Beavan.

Anaheim: SS Erick Aybar, 2B Howie Kendrick, LF Bobby Abreu, RF Torii Hunter, C Chris Iannetta, CF Peter Bourjois, DH Hank Conger, 1B Efren Navarro, 3B Mark Trumbo, RHP Jered Weaver.

Michael Saunders will take the center field position for the fourth time this spring. Montero is set behind the plate for the second time, while Seattle’s regular season catcher, Olivo, works the DH spot.

Angels’ beat writer Alden Gonzalez makes an interesting point in his pre-game notes:

Scioscia on the Angels drawing 14 walks: “Early in camp, I’m really surprised at how well our guys are seeing the ball. And when that meets a guy who’s a little erratic, that forces some walks and I think that’s what we’re seeing.”

Blake Beavan has yet to put up more than two walks in his 3.2 IP, but even if he does… it’s just Spring Training. (Not that I’d mind watching the M’s go 5-1 today, though.)

Will the Angels boost their standings to 3-0 today?

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For MLB.TV subscribers, this will be the first Mariners game MLB televises. Today is your lucky day. Try not to rub it in the faces of those who can’t afford a $25/month subscription.

For Angels fans (or Mariners fans in Angels territory), the game should also be broadcast on Prime Ticket.

For those neither living in Anaheim nor with an MLB.TV subscription, well, enjoy Gameday.

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