
Whoops, spoiler alert. (Photo by Chris Staley/Flickr)
Well, since my last strange and useless statistic came up lemons on Ryan Ludwick discussion points, I clearly just had to make up my own, right?
It’s hard to try to measure (non)-volatility, but I thought I’d take a shot, just based on how many starts with zero hits a player has. That part was basic, because I just divided the number of games started with no hits, by the player’s number of starts. Obviously, the lower that is, the better. Then I decided to take it a little farther. I mean, Joey Votto is going to have the fewest 0-hit games, just because it’s much harder to get him out. I mean, obviously that still means Joey Votto is the best, because being really good at baseball is the best way to be a really good baseball player.
But just for funsies, I calculated an ‘expected’ percentage. I based it on the player’s batting average and number of AB’s that specific player averages in his starts. It’s not perfect, of course, and probably ludicrously inaccurate, statistically speaking. I just wanted to partially reflect the fact that Drew Stubbs almost never gets a hit (so he’s obviously going to have more 0-fors), and Ryan Hanigan gets significantly fewer AB per start (so he’s obviously going to have fewer 0-fors).
The results reveal that, adjusted for his batting average and average number of AB, Ryan Ludwick is our most consistent Red:
| GS | GS with 0 hits % | Predicted % | Reliability Index | |
| Ludwick | 104 | 0.269 | 0.295 | 109.7 |
| Hanigan | 89 | 0.326 | 0.338 | 103.8 |
| Heisey | 73 | 0.260 | 0.264 | 101.3 |
| Rolen | 72 | 0.375 | 0.378 | 100.9 |
| Mesoraco | 48 | 0.458 | 0.452 | 98.6 |
| Valdez | 39 | 0.436 | 0.425 | 97.5 |
| Frazier | 102 | 0.304 | 0.296 | 97.3 |
| Cairo | 28 | 0.536 | 0.519 | 96.8 |
| Votto | 95 | 0.253 | 0.239 | 94.5 |
| Stubbs | 111 | 0.405 | 0.382 | 94.1 |
| Cozart | 121 | 0.322 | 0.303 | 94.0 |
| Bruce | 137 | 0.358 | 0.330 | 92.3 |
| Paul | 8 | 0.250 | 0.221 | 88.2 |
| Phillips | 132 | 0.295 | 0.253 | 85.6 |
Congratulations, Ryan, your trophy is in the mail. It’s a very important award. A very, very important award. You’re welcome.

